According to a new study, changing weather patterns caused by climate change are leading to variations in terrorist activity locations.
An investigation conducted by extremism expert Dr. Jared Dmello of the University of Adelaide’s School of Social Sciences discovered that several climatological variables influenced terrorist activity in India.
As published in the Journal of Applied Security Research, the research focused on terrorist activity in India from 1998 to 2017, during which time the Global Terrorism Database reported 9,096 terrorist attacks.
From the study: ” Using daily temperature, precipitation, elevation, and distance to the equator data from the National Climatic Data Center and terrorist incidents from the Global Terrorism Data base (GTD), this study assesses the spatial relationship between these factors through geospatial analyses.”
“Suitability analyses indicate that all the climatological variables tested—temperature, precipitation, and elevation—relate to shifting patterns of terrorist activity.”
“We also found that beyond intensity, seasons result in a shifting of patterns in terrorist behavior to other locales Implications for the global community and for India specifically are discussed.”